Radical Georgia Moderate

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Bowl Results

28 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari, Jeffrey Sherman, Ken, Lush, Mel and Thomas did not submit bowl picks, and were submitted last place finishes. Mae and I were late and were each docked two points. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Final Results

265 points could have been scored overall.

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There are a few possibilities of how to do that. Scott suggested betting on up-or-down favorites rather than the spread, but factoring the odds in. I’ll explain how that (and another option) would work momentarily, but first I’ll have to clarify a long-running mistake of mine.

It might irk some of you that what I’ve been referring to as odds are actually the point spread. If X team is favored over Y team by 16 points, that’s a spread, not odds. But I called it odds last year without giving much thought to the nomenclature, and that carried over into this year. Odds are when a team is favored 2:1 or 3:1 or 16:1. So there.

With that out of the way, here are two options I’ve come up with so far as possibilities for how to run the contest next year:

Option 1: Weighted favorites

This is the format Scott suggested. Here would be an example of how to bet on up-or-down favorites, with odds factored in:

Tennessee is playing Kentucky
Tennessee is favored 16:1

If Tennessee wins:
Betting on Tennessee was worth 1 point
Betting on Kentucky was worth 0 points

If Kentucky wins:
Betting on Tennessee was worth 0 points
Betting on Kentucky was worth 16 points

That would provide a much greater incentive to bet on an underdog without fear of losing your shirt in the standings, and allow at least a high percentage of players to remain in contention through most of the season.

Option 2: Graded spread

The other option I’ve concocted is to bet on the spread, but with a slight twist. Here’s another example:

Tennessee is playing Kentucky
Tennessee is favored by 24 points

If Tennessee wins by 24 or more (covers the spread):
Betting on Tennessee to cover the spread was worth 1 point
Betting on Tennessee to win but not cover the spread was worth .5 points
Betting on Kentucky to win was worth 0 points

If Tennessee wins by less than 24 (does not cover the spread):
Betting on Tennessee to win but not cover the spread was worth 1 point
Betting on Tennessee to cover the spread was worth .5 points
Betting on Kentucky to win was worth 0 points

If Kentucky upsets Tennessee:
Betting on Tennessee to win was worth 0 points
Betting on Kentucky to win was worth 1 point

I think this option would have a feel much more like this year and last year’s contest, while at the same time discouraging people from taking straight-up odds all the time.

Statistically, I have no idea how either contest would turn out. Please provide some feedback, including your own suggestion for a new system if you have one, as the format needs to change next year.

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Round 14 Results

7 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari, Jeffrey Sherman, Mel, Reginald, and Thomas did not submit picks and were spotted last place finishes. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

237 points could have been scored overall.

Round 15 Odds

Picks should be submitted at least 24 hours before a given bowl’s kickoff time.

Remember, you can enter your picks simply by writing, “I’ll take the favorites except for X Team, Z Team, and Y Team” rather than writing out every game.

Dec. 20, 2005 bowls

New Orleans Bowl
Southern Miss @ Arkansas St.
Odds: Southern Miss by 17

Dec. 21, 2005 bowls

GMAC Bowl
Toledo @ UTEP
Odds: Toledo by 2.5

Dec. 22, 2005 bowls

Las Vegas Bowl
BYU @ Cal
Odds: Cal by 7

Poinsettia Bowl
Colorado St. @ Navy
Odds: Navy by 2.5

Dec. 23, 2005 bowls

Fort Worth Bowl
Kansas @ Houston
Odds: Kansas by 3

Dec. 24, 2005 bowls

Hawaii Bowl
Nevada @ UCF
Odds: Nevada by 2

Dec. 26, 2005 bowls

Motor City Bowl
Memphis @ Akron
Odds: Memphis by 5

Dec. 27, 2005 bowls

Champs Sports Bowl
#23 Clemson @ Colorado
Favorite: Clemson

Insight Bowl
Arizona St. @ Rutgers
Odds: Arizona St. by 11.5

Dec. 28, 2005 bowls

MPC Computers Bowl
Boise St. @ #19 Boston College
Odds: Boise State by 1.5

Alamo Bowl
#20 Michigan @ Nebraska
Odds: Michigan by 12

Dec. 29, 2005 bowls

Emerald Bowl
#24 Georgia Tech @ Utah
Odds: Georgia Tech by 9

Holiday Bowl
#6 Oregon @ Oklahoma
Odds: Oregon by 3

Dec. 30, 2005 bowls

Music City Bowl
Virginia @ Minnesota
Odds: Minnesota by 3.5

Sun Bowl
Northwestern @ #17 UCLA
Odds: UCLA by 3.5

Independence Bowl
South Carolina @ Missouri
Odds: South Carolina by 4.5

Peach Bowl
#9 Miami FL @ #10 LSU
Favorite: Miami

Dec. 31, 2005 bowls

Meineke Bowl
South Florida @ N.C. State
Odds: N.C. State by 6

Liberty Bowl
Fresno St. @ Tulsa
Odds: Fresno State by 7

Houston Bowl
#14 TCU @ Iowa St.
Odds: TCU by 3.5

Jan. 2, 2006 bowls

Outback Bowl
#25 Iowa @ #16 Florida
Odds: Florida by 2.5

Cotton Bowl
#18 Texas Tech @ #13 Alabama
Odds: Texas Tech by 2.5

Gator Bowl
#15 Louisville @ #12 Virginia Tech
Odds: Virginia Tech by 7.5

Capital One Bowl
#21 Wisconsin @ #7 Auburn
Odds: Auburn by 11

Fiesta Bowl
#5 Notre Dame @ #4 Ohio St.
Odds: Ohio State by 4

Sugar Bowl
#11 West Virginia @ #8 Georgia
Odds: Georgia by 8.5

Jan. 3, 2006 bowls

Orange Bowl
#3 Penn St. @ #22 Florida St.
Odds: Penn. State by 8

Jan. 4, 2006 bowls

Rose Bowl
#1 USC @ #2 Texas
Odds: USC by 7

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Round 13 Results

Up to 12 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari, Jeffrey Sherman, Mel, and Thomas did not submit picks and were spotted last place finishes. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

Up to 230 points could have been scored so far.

Round 14 Odds

Friday, Dec. 2 games

Louisiana Tech @ #22 Fresno State
Odds: Fresno State by 22.5

Saturday, Dec. 3 games

Colorado @ #2 Texas
Odds: Texas by 28

#11 UCLA @ #1 USC
Odds: USC by 21

#13 Georgia @ #3 LSU
Odds: LSU by 2

#12 West Virginia @ South Florida
Odds: West Virginia by 9.5

#17 Louisville @ Connecticut
Odds: Louisville by 17.5

Florida State @ #5 Virginia Tech
Odds: Virginia Tech by 16

Off this week

Everybody else

UPDATE: I finally updated this post with Round 13 results, including a score correction.

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(just practicing for later)

Round 12 Results

Up to 14 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari, Jeffrey Sherman, Mel, and Thomas did not submit picks and were each spotted last place finishes. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

Up to 218 points could have been scored so far.

Jeffrey Sherman’s overall scores were screwed up the last three or four weeks because I’d been entering Qs instead of Os in a field on my spreadsheet. That’s fixed in the spreadsheet now.

Round 13 Odds

Your pick for Pittsburgh-West Virginia is due Wednesday, Nov. 23 before midnight. Your pick for Texas-Texas A&M is due Thursday, Nov. 24 before midnight. All other picks are due Friday, Nov. 24 before midnight.

Remember, you can enter your picks simply by writing, “I’ll take the favorites except for X Team, Z Team, and Y Team” rather than writing out every game.

Thursday, Nov. 24 games

Pittsburgh @ #12 West Virginia
Odds: West Virginia by 13.5

Friday, Nov. 25 games

#2 Texas @ Texas A&M
Odds: Texas by 26.5

Saturday, Nov. 26 games

Arkansas @ #3 LSU
Odds: LSU by 17

North Carolina @ #5 Virginia Tech
Favorite: Virginia Tech by 23.5

#6 Notre Dame @ Stanford
Odds: Notre Dame by 18

Virginia @ #10 Miami (Fla.)
Odds: Miami by 18.5

#13 Georgia @ #24 Georgia Tech
Odds: Georgia by 3.5

#16 Fresno State @ Nevada
Odds: Fresno State by 16

Syracuse @ #18 Louisville
Odds: Louisville by 35.5

#21 Florida State @ #19 Florida
Odds: Florida by 5

#22 Wisconsin @ Hawaii
Odds: Wisconsin by 6.5

#25 Iowa State @ Kansas
Odds: Iowa State by 3

Off this week

#1 USC
#4 Penn State
#7 Ohio State
#8 Oregon
#9 Auburn
#11 UCLA
#14 Alabama
#15 TCU
#17 Texas Tech
#20 Boston College
#23 Michigan

UPDATE: Due to a mistake in my spreadsheet, Scrivener had been awarded 178 overall points when he really only had 175. That’s corrected now.

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Round 11 results

Up to 21 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari and Mel did not submit picks and were each spotted last place finishes. Jen submitted her picks after the kickoff of the Virginia game and was docked one point. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

Up to 204 points could have been scored so far.

Round 12 odds

All picks are due Friday, Nov. 18 before midnight EST.

Remember, you can enter your picks simply by writing, “I’ll take the favorites except for X Team, Z Team, and Y Team” rather than writing out every game.

Saturday, Nov. 19 games

#16 Fresno State @ #1 USC
Odds: USC by 24

Georgia Tech @ #3 Miami (Fla.)
Odds: Miami by 17.5

#4 LSU @ Ole Miss
Odds: LSU by 17

#5 Penn State @ Michigan State
Odds: Penn State by 7.5

#6 Virginia Tech @ Virginia
Odds: Virginia Tech by 7.5

Syracuse @ #7 Notre Dame
Odds: Notre Dame by 34.5

#8 Alabama @ #12 Auburn
Odds: Auburn by 7

#9 Ohio State @ #17 Michigan
Odds: Ohio State by 3

Oregon State @ #10 Oregon
Odds: Oregon by 13.5

Kentucky @ #14 Georgia
Odds: Georgia by 27

Oklahoma @ #19 Texas Tech
Odds: Texas Tech by 7.5

Clemson @ #21 South Carolina
Odds: South Carolina by 1

#23 Boston College @ Maryland
Odds: Boston College by 2.5

UAB @ #25 UTEP
Odds: UTEP by 8

Off this week

#2 Texas
#11 UCLA
#13 West Virginia
#15 TCU
#18 Louisville
#20 Florida
#22 Florida State
#24 Wisconsin

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Round 10 results

Up to 20 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari, Mel and Scott did not submit picks and were spotted last place finishes. Brian Mercat came in after the West Virginia and Lousiville games and was docked two points. Melissa has bowed out of the contest. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

Up to 183 points could have been scored so far.

Round 11 odds

Your pick for the West Virginia-Cincinnati game is due Tuesday, Nov. 8 before midnight EST. Your pick for the Boise State-Fresno State game is due Wednesday, Nov. 9 before midnight EST. Your pick for the Rutgers-Louisville game is due Thursday, Nov. 10 before midnight EST. All other picks are due Friday, Nov. 11 before midnight EST.

Remember, you can enter your picks simply by writing, “I’ll take the favorites except for X Team, Z Team, and Y Team” rather than writing out every game.

Wednesday, Nov. 9 games

#15 West Virginia @ Cincinnati
Odds: West Virginia by 14

Thursday, Nov. 10 games

Boise State @ #20 Fresno State
Odds: Fresno State by 7.5

Friday, Nov. 11 games

Rutgers @ #23 Louisville
Odds: Louisville by 21.5

Saturday, Nov. 12 games

#1 USC @ California
Odds: USC by 19

Kansas @ #2 Texas
Odds: Texas by 35.5

#5 LSU @ #3 Alabama
Odds: LSU by 3

#4 Miami (Fla.) @ Wake Forest
Odds: Miami (Fla.) by 16.5

Navy @ #7 Notre Dame
Odds: Notre Dame by 23.5

#17 Auburn @ #9 Georgia
Odds: Georgia by 3

Northwestern @ #10 Ohio State
Odds: Ohio State by 16

#11 Oregon @ Washington State
Odds: Oregon by 4.5

#12 Florida @ South Carolina
Odds: Florida by 4.5

#13 Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State
Odds: Texas Tech by 24.5

Arizona State @ #14 UCLA
Odds: UCLA by 4

#16 Florida State @ Clemson
Odds: Florida State by 2

UNLV @ #18 TCU
Odds: TCU by 29

Iowa @ #19 Wisconsin
Odds: Wisconsin by 2.5

#21 Colorado @ Iowa State
Odds: Colorado by 3

Indiana @ #22 Michigan
Odds: Michigan by 24.5

#24 Georgia Tech @ Virginia
Odds: Virginia by 5

N.C. State @ #25 Boston College
Odds: Boston College by 4

Off this week

#6 Penn State
#8 Virginia Tech

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Careful with the Tennessee-Notre Dame game. As piss poor as the Vol offense and special teams has been, as imminent as the firing of the offensive coordinator (or maybe the head coach, if omens mean anything to you) seems, keep in mind that:

• Three of the Vols’ four losses were non-blowouts to top ten teams, and they have already beaten one top ten team (fluke or no fluke)
• Speaking of flukes, last year’s fluke upset at the hands of the Fighting Irish is still fresh on the minds of Vol players
• The Vols have played better on the road the past five years than at home
• The Vols have a habit of pulling a win out of their asses when they have no business doing so (see: Georgia last year, Miami the year before that)
• The Vols have one of the best rush defenses in the country and a pass defense that has played better than expected
• The Vols have hit bottom, and have absolutely nothing to lose at this point

You can count on Jeffrey to take Notre Dame, as he’s a big fan.

Round 9 Results

Up to 18 points could have been scored this round.

Bitchmeister, Cari, and Melissa did not submit picks this week and were spotted last place finishes. Brian Mercat missed the Virginia Tech deadline (by a full day, not just the midnight deadline) and had a point deducted from his score. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

Up to 163 points could have been scored overall.

Round 10 Odds

Odds are accurate as of Monday, Oct. 31 at 1:45 p.m. EST. Your pick for the Connecticut-West Virginia game is due Wednesday, Nov. 1 before midnight EST. Your pick for the Pittsburgh-Louisville game is due Wednesday, Nov. 2 before midnight EST. All other picks are due Friday, Nov. 4 before midnight EST.

Remember, you can enter your picks simply by writing, “I’ll take the favorites except for X Team, Z Team, and Y Team” rather than writing out every game.

Wednesday, Nov. 2 games

Connecticut @ #16 West Virginia
Odds: West Virginia by 14.5

Thursday, Nov. 3 games

Pittsburgh @ #25 Louisville
Odds: Louisville by 20.5

Saturday, Nov. 5 games

Stanford @ #1 USC
Odds: USC by 32.5

#2 Texas @ Baylor
Odds: Texas by 28

#5 Miami (Fla.) @ #3 Virginia Tech
Odds: Virginia Tech by 7

#4 Alabama @ Mississippi State
Odds: Alabama by 17

Appalachian State @ #6 LSU
Odds: LSU by 8

#7 UCLA @ Arizona
Odds: UCLA by 9.5

N.C. State @ #8 Florida State
Odds: Florida State by 14

Tennessee @ #9 Notre Dame
Odds: Notre Dame by 8.5

#14 Wisconsin @ #11 Penn State
Odds: Penn State by 10.5

Illinois @ #12 Ohio State
Odds: Ohio State by 34.5

#21 Cal @ #13 Oregon
Odds: Oregon by 1

Vanderbilt @ #15 Florida
Odds: Florida by 19.5

Texas A&M @ #17 Texas Tech
Odds: Texas Tech by 17

#18 Auburn @ Kentucky
Odds: Auburn by 22.5

#19 Boston College @ North Carolina
Odds: Boston College by 4.5

Colorado State @ #20 TCU
Odds: TCU by 7

San Jose State @ #22 Fresno State
Odds: Fresno State by 33

Missouri @ #24 Colorado
Odds: Colorado by 11.5

Off this week

#10 Georgia
#23 Michigan

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Round 8 Results

Up to 17 points were available this week.

The Miami (Fla.) and West Virginia games were cancelled due to inclement weather, so picks were discarded for those games. Bitchmeister, Cari, Jeffrey Sherman, Mel and Melissa did not submit picks and were spotted last place finishes. CM, Garrett, Lefty, Scott and Scrivener missed the deadline for the Virginia Tech game and were docked 1 point each. A PDF with more detailed results can be viewed here.

Overall Standings

Up to 145 points could have been scored so far.

Round 9 Odds

Odds are accurate as of Monday, Oct. 24 at 11 p.m. EST. Your pick for the Boston College-Virginia Tech game is due Wednesday, Oct. 26 before midnight EST. All other picks are due Friday, Oct. 28 before midnight EST.

Remember, you can enter your picks simply by writing, “I’ll take the favorites except for X Team, Z Team, and Y Team” rather than writing out every game.

Thursday, Oct. 27 games

#11 Boston College @ #3 Virginia Tech
Odds: Virginia Tech by 13

Saturday, Oct. 29 games

Washington State @ #1 USC
Odds: USC by 29

#2 Texas @ Oklahoma State
Odds: Texas by 37

#4 Georgia @ #18 Florida
Odds: Florida by 5.5

Utah State @ #5 Alabama
Odds: Alabama by 34.5

North Carolina @ #6 Miami (Fla.)
Odds: Miami by 20

North Texas @ #7 LSU
Odds: LSU by 44

#8 UCLA @ Stanford
Odds: Stanford by 8

Maryland @ #9 Florida State
Odds: Florida State by 17.5

Purdue @ #12 Penn State
Odds: Penn State by 16

#13 Ohio State @ #22 Minnesota
Odds: Ohio State by 5.5

#15 Wisconsin @ Illinois
Odds: Wisconsin by 20

#16 Texas Tech @ Baylor
Odds: Texas Tech by 11.5

Ole Miss @ #19 Auburn
Odds: Auburn by 20

#20 TCU @ San Diego State
Odds: TCU by 6.5

Michigan @ #23 Northwestern
Odds: Michigan by 3

#24 Fresno State @ Hawaii
Odds: Fresno State by 12.5

South Carolina @ #25 Tennessee
Odds: Tennessee by 14

Off this week

#10 Notre Dame
#14 Oregon
#17 West Virginia
#21 Cal

UPDATE: I updated the stats to reflect a correction I made the previous round.

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