Tennessee-Georgia week, bitches. I wrote last week that the UT-UGA game could go either way, depending on which of the respective teams’ weak units screw up less. I still believe that, and had I been picking the game last week, I’d probably have spotted UGA a field goal. But this week, Tennessee appears to be showing improvement in some of its weak areas (offensive line play, porous run defense), while Georgia is trending downward or has at best stagnated in its problem areas (offensive line play, quarterbacks).
If it were possible to throw the recent history of this series out, I’d probably spot Tennessee about 10 given the way the two teams are playing right now. But it’s not, and based purely on Richt’s ownership of Fulmer in the 21st century, I think things are about as close as possible to dead even as they can be.
Oddsmakers apparently agree with me, as the game opened with a zero-point line and has settled to Tennessee being a 2.5- or 3-point favorite, depending on whom you ask.
And, in case some of you forgot, I’m wagering themes on this game with six suckers. So either this blog will be sporting used-tampon-red and hobo-tooth-black this time next week, or six blogs will be sporting the glorious orange and white.
Week 5 Results
| Player | ATS | Win % | Fav % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben K | 13-6 | 68.42% | 84.21% |
| Epistemizer | 13-6 | 68.42% | 52.63% |
| Kenneth | 12-7 | 63.16% | 57.89% |
| Bill | 11-8 | 57.89% | 63.16% |
| Garrett | 11-8 | 57.89% | 94.74% |
| Rusty | 11-8 | 57.89% | 73.68% |
| The Ixxperience | 11-8 | 57.89% | 84.21% |
| Amber | 10-9 | 52.63% | 57.89% |
| Dignan | 10-9 | 52.63% | 89.47% |
| Jared Brown | 10-9 | 52.63% | 78.95% |
| Josh Page | 10-9 | 52.63% | 68.42% |
| Kelley Roberson | 10-9 | 52.63% | 47.37% |
| Patrick | 10-9 | 52.63% | 100% |
| Sara | 10-9 | 52.63% | 68.42% |
| Scott | 10-9 | 52.63% | 78.95% |
| Thomas | 10-9 | 52.63% | 89.47% |
| brit878 | 10-9 | 52.63% | 78.95% |
| buzzbrockway | 10-9 | 52.63% | 57.89% |
| ARBY | 9-10 | 47.37% | 73.68% |
| Alyssa | 9-10 | 47.37% | 84.21% |
| Audacity | 9-10 | 47.37% | 84.21% |
| CM | 9-10 | 47.37% | 94.74% |
| Cee yoU Next Tuesday Sir | 9-10 | 47.37% | 84.21% |
| Lush | 9-10 | 47.37% | 78.95% |
| Scrivener | 9-10 | 47.37% | 94.74% |
| Seth | 9-10 | 47.37% | 52.63% |
| griftdrift | 9-10 | 47.37% | 73.68% |
| Tony | 8-11 | 42.11% | 89.47% |
| rugby_fan | 8-11 | 42.11% | 78.95% |
| Carl Lindecrantz | 6-13 | 31.58% | 26.32% |
| Furious D | 6-13 | 31.58% | 68.42% |
| Bull | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
| Jerry | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
| Ron | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
| Salvatore Sheffo | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
| Scott Sherman | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
| TheMuse | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
| chuck | 0-19 | 0% | 0% |
Overall Standings Through Week 5
| Player | ATS | Win % | Fav % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rusty | 67-34 | 66.34% | 80.2% |
| Alyssa | 66-35 | 65.35% | 81.19% |
| Ben K | 66-35 | 65.35% | 77.23% |
| Garrett | 66-35 | 65.35% | 91.09% |
| Thomas | 65-36 | 64.36% | 84.16% |
| brit878 | 65-36 | 64.36% | 86.14% |
| rugby_fan | 65-36 | 64.36% | 90.1% |
| The Ixxperience | 64-37 | 63.37% | 85.15% |
| griftdrift | 64-37 | 63.37% | 77.23% |
| Cee yoU Next Tuesday Sir | 63-38 | 62.38% | 86.14% |
| Epistemizer | 63-38 | 62.38% | 64.36% |
| Furious D | 63-38 | 62.38% | 74.26% |
| Jared Brown | 63-38 | 62.38% | 84.16% |
| Lush | 63-38 | 62.38% | 73.27% |
| Audacity | 62-39 | 61.39% | 83.17% |
| Kenneth | 62-39 | 61.39% | 61.39% |
| Patrick | 62-39 | 61.39% | 77.23% |
| Scrivener | 62-39 | 61.39% | 85.15% |
| ARBY | 60-41 | 59.41% | 83.17% |
| Sara | 60-41 | 59.41% | 73.27% |
| Josh Page | 57-44 | 56.44% | 76.24% |
| buzzbrockway | 57-44 | 56.44% | 64.36% |
| Carl Lindecrantz | 55-46 | 54.46% | 54.46% |
| Tony | 55-46 | 54.46% | 74.26% |
| Dignan | 54-47 | 53.47% | 73.27% |
| chuck | 53-48 | 52.48% | 61.39% |
| Kelley Roberson | 51-50 | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Scott | 50-51 | 49.5% | 57.43% |
| Amber | 48-53 | 47.52% | 51.49% |
| Seth | 43-58 | 42.57% | 47.52% |
| Bill | 41-60 | 40.59% | 49.5% |
| CM | 40-61 | 39.6% | 58.42% |
| TheMuse | 27-74 | 26.73% | 31.68% |
| Jerry | 18-83 | 17.82% | 21.78% |
| Salvatore Sheffo | 17-84 | 16.83% | 14.85% |
| Bull | 15-86 | 14.85% | 14.85% |
| Scott Sherman | 15-86 | 14.85% | 14.85% |
| Ron | 12-89 | 11.88% | 10.89% |
- ATS
- Against The Spread: A win is rewarded for accurately predicting when a team does or does not cover the spread. An inaccurate prediction results in a loss.
- Win %
- Win Percentage: Percentage of games won.
- Fav %
- Favorite Percentage: How many times a player predicted the favorite would cover the spread
Week 6 Odds
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Are you going to give yourself the Amazon gift card if you come in first? Or will it then go to the 2nd place contestant?
Anyway, yes, I am a bit worried. Will I spend Sunday afternoon playing Doom or theming my blog prison jumpsuit orange?
I doubt I’ll be in first by season’s end, but if I do come in first, then I’ll give it to second place. If we somehow end in a tie, then I’ll give out several smaller certificates.
Just to be contentious, I think that it’s not Georgia’s “OL and quarterbacks” that are the weakness, so much as the “OL and the RECEIVERS”. They are dropping at least 4 easily catchable balls a game. And that doesn’t count harder-to-catch balls which you would still expect a scholarship athlete to come down with at least some of the time.
No QB will ever look good if his zippy passes to the perfect spot (and Stafford has had a number of those!) drill the receiver in the shoulder pads and fall impotently to the ground.
Tennessee’s receivers were also dropping a ton of passes last year, but they most definitely had QB problems.
It’s a problem because not because either of them are terrible, but because none of them have stepped up their game enough to lock the position. That, as Tennessee fans know, is anathema for an offense where consistency is key.
Another big problem as I see it has been Richt’s playcalling. He’s been stubbornly sticking to a passing game that’s been ineffective and not giving Lumpkin enough touches.
If they were expected to run more often, defenses might have to stack the box against them more often. And if the protection was good, the quarterbacks would have targets to hit other than the receivers who have been dropping so many passes.
Wow, my worst week yet and I am still 4th. ****!!!!!!
I will make it up this weekend. Can there be a prize for most consistent performer?
And where the hell is my Gravatar?
why does everyone continue to pick against Louisville on this site? Rusty, explain to your peeps why we put teams like Middle Tennessee State onto our schedules. Stat padding people, stat padding.
Our offense is unstoppable! (until the WVa game)
I think most of the people picking against Louisville don’t really know much about football and are just picking upsets at random.
I’ve got a formula of some sort, and it has told me to go against Louisville once this season. It also turned out to be wrong. But I dance with the girl that brung me.
I think that if there’s a tie, the win should go to whoever picked the favorites less. To do so is obviously a little riskier and takes more talent than taking more favorites and going under the radar.
Of course, I say that as the person with the highest percentage of “laying low” on the board.
Favorites and Dogs should each win about 50% of the time, though, so there should be no advantage to “flying under the radar” in that way. If you pick all favs, you’ll go about 50/50…all dogs, about 50/50.